雷电临近预警系统的运行试验

孟青; 张义军; 吕伟涛; 姚雯; 马颖; 王飞; 马明; 郑栋; 郭虎; 熊亚军

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DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2009.4.003

气象:2009,35(4):20-24

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雷电临近预警系统的运行试验

孟青¹, 张义军^1,2, 吕伟涛^1,2, 姚雯¹, 马颖¹, 王飞¹, 马明¹, 郑栋¹, 郭虎³, 熊亚军³

(1.中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081;2.中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室;3.北京市气象局)

Operational Experiment of Lightning Nowcasting and Warning System

Meng Qing¹, Zhang Yijun^1,2, Lv Weitao^1,2, Yao Wen¹, Ma Ying¹, Wang Fei¹, Ma Ming¹, Zheng Dong¹, Guo Hu³, Xiong Yajun³

(1.Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081;2.State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences;3.Beijing Meteorological Bureau)

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投稿时间：2008-03-05 修订日期：2009-02-24

中文摘要: 介绍了中国气象科学研究院研发的雷电临近预警系统（CAMS LNWS）在北京地区开展的业务运行试验。通过运行测试以及预警结果与闪电监测结果的对比评估，表明：CAMS LNWS能够稳定运行，定时读取多种探测资料、自动生成并循环显示雷电发生概率、雷电活动区域移动趋势和重点区域雷电危险度等级三种雷电临近预警产品；CAMS LNWS的雷电发生概率预警产品具有较高的命中率，能够较好地对0～30min内可能发生闪电的区域进行有效预警；随着预警时间的延长，CAMS LNWS的预警效果会有所降低。

中文关键词: 雷电临近预警运行试验评估

Abstract:The operational experiment result of Lightning Nowcasting and Warning System (wh ich is developed by Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, CAMS_LNWS) in Be ijing area is reported. The comparison and evaluation between the lightning nowc asting products and lightning monitoring data show that CAMS_LNWS can work stabl y, obtain many observation data regularly, automatically generate and circularly display three types of lightning nowcasting and warning products, namely the li ghtning occurrence probability, the moving trend of lightning activity region an d the lightning risk grade of key region. The lightning occurrence probability products of CAMS_LNWS have a relatively high Probability of Detectio n (POD), and it can effectively nowcast and warn the regions that may occur ligh tning flashes within 0—30 min. However, with the extension of the nowcasting an d warning lead time, the effect of CAMS_LNWS products will deteriorate.

keywords: lightning nowcasting and warning operational experiments evaluation

文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标志码：

基金项目:中国气象局气象新技术推广项目(CMATG2005M12)、中国气象局业务项目 “雷电监测预警业务系统建设”、国家重点基础研究专项（2004CB418300）

作者	单位
孟青	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081
张义军	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081 中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室
吕伟涛	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081 中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室
姚雯	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081
马颖	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081
王飞	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081
马明	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081
郑栋	中国气象科学研究院雷电物理和防护工程实验室，北京 100081
郭虎	北京市气象局
熊亚军	北京市气象局

Author Name	Affiliation
Meng Qing	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081
Zhang Yijun	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081 State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
Lv Weitao	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081 State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
Yao Wen	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081
Ma Ying	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081
Wang Fei	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081
Ma Ming	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081
Zheng Dong	Laboratory of Lightning Physics and Protection Engineering, Chinese Academy of Meteorological iences, Beijing 100081
Guo Hu	Beijing Meteorological Bureau
Xiong Yajun	Beijing Meteorological Bureau

引用文本：
孟青,张义军,吕伟涛,姚雯,马颖,王飞,马明,郑栋,郭虎,熊亚军,2009.雷电临近预警系统的运行试验[J].气象,35(4):20-24.
Meng Qing,Zhang Yijun,Lv Weitao,Yao Wen,Ma Ying,Wang Fei,Ma Ming,Zheng Dong,Guo Hu,Xiong Yajun,2009.Operational Experiment of Lightning Nowcasting and Warning System[J].Meteor Mon,35(4):20-24.