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气象:2009,35(2):80-87
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我国1小时雨强的时空分布特征
(国家气象中心,北京 100081)
Spatial Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Hourly Rain Intensity in China
(National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2008-03-14    修订日期:2008-10-09
中文摘要: 基于我国1991—2005年485站高时间分辨率的雨强资料,利用概率分布与统计检验等 方法,分析了其时空分布特征,并将雨强分为>1mm?h-1、>2mm?h-1、>4mm?h -1、>8mm?h-1四个级别, 探讨了各级别雨强的年平均发生频率、日变化和极端降水等问题。结果表明:雨强的日变化 具有明显的地区差异,其中西南和华南地区日变化最为明显。1小时最大雨强50年和100年 重现期初步估算值的空间分布形态具有一致性,高值区主要在东南沿海一带,其中百年一遇 的1小时雨强达100~150mm?h-1。
中文关键词: 1小时雨强  概率分布  日变化  重现期
Abstract:Based on the hourly rain intensity data in 485 stations of China durin g 1991 to 2005, the Spatial Temporal distribution features of hourly rain inten sity are analyzed with probability distribution analyses and statistical test. The hourly rain intensity was divided into four levels,more than 1 mm, 2 mm, 4 mm and 8mm per hour. The hourly rain intensity distribution character in differe nt levels was analyzed for the whole year and the distribution of the maximum of hourly rain intensity. Then, the daily variation of rain intensity was investig ated. The results showed that the features of daily variation were different in different areas and obvious in the West South and the South China. Furthermore, the recurrence periods of 50, 100 years of the maximum of hourly rain intensity were estimated primarily. It seemed that their distribution trends were consiste n t. The maximum area can be found in the southeast coastal range. The maximum of hourly rain intensity in 100 years can reach 100-150 mm/h in these regions.
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基金项目:中国气象局多轨道业务建设项目“精细化气象要素预报业务系统建设”和“灾 害性天气个例数据库”资助
引用文本:
姚莉,李小泉,张立梅,2009.我国1小时雨强的时空分布特征[J].气象,35(2):80-87.
Yao Li,Li Xiaoquan,Zhang Limei,2009.Spatial Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Hourly Rain Intensity in China[J].Meteor Mon,35(2):80-87.