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气象:2008,34(6):107-111
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高空基本影响天气系统定量化自动分析研究
(1.宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,银川 750002;2.宁夏气象台;3.;4.湖南省气象台;5.黑龙江省气象中心)
Study on Quantitative Auto Analysis of Upper Air Primary Weather System
(1.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Preventing and Reducing in Ningxia , Yinchuan 750002;2.Ningxia Meteorological Observatory;3.Hunan Meteorological office;4.Heilongjiang Meteorological Center;5.Ningxia Meteorological Observatory)
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投稿时间:2007-03-12    修订日期:2008-03-15
中文摘要: 为了满足数值预报产品等多种参考信息不断丰富情况下,高时空分辨率精细化预报的具体需 求,针对气象业务中通用的MICAPS格点文件数据格式,在等值线分析进行高空天气系统分析 的基础上,从高空天气系统的定义出发,使用矢量分析方法,建立了确定数据场内任意预报 点影响系统判识、计算考察点到影响系统距离、影响系统强度、系统移动变化、急流强度等 不同定量化参数的算法。使用Visual Basic语言,针对中国北方沙尘暴和南方强冷空气活动 高空基本影响天气系统,进行了定量参数自动分析试验,结果表明具有较好的分析效果。这 一算法具有良好的业务适用性,为建立自动预报系统、提高业务预报自动化水平提供了算法 基础。
中文关键词: MICAPS  天气系统  定量化  自动分析
Abstract:In order to meet the demand of high spatial temporal resolution operational for ecast under the situation of abundant NWP products, based on the former recogniz ing study about upper air primary system with contour analysis method, targeting the MICAPS format grid data, using the vector analysis, the algorithms of quant itative parameters for a certain point were setup such as the distance to the af fecting weather system, the intensity, the moving direction and velocity, the te mporal changing rate of the system, the relative position to that system,the lo cation of the jet and the jet intensity also. The quantitative auto analyzing s oftware for upper air major weather systems was developed with visual BASIC language. The experiment on sandstorm i n northern part of China and cold air activity in southern China shows that the algorithm is effective with high accuracy. The algorithm provides a good basis f or developing automatic forecast system and to rise the modernization level for objective forecast.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金40575048,中国气象局B 072,湖南省气象局重点科研项目02 2共同资助。
引用文本:
胡文东,黄小玉,赵光平,郑广芬,王承伟,丁建军,2008.高空基本影响天气系统定量化自动分析研究[J].气象,34(6):107-111.
Hu Wendong,Huang Xiaoyu,Zhao Guangping,Zheng Guangfen,Wang Chengwei,Ding Jianjun,2008.Study on Quantitative Auto Analysis of Upper Air Primary Weather System [J].Meteor Mon,34(6):107-111.