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投稿时间:2007-05-14 修订日期:2007-09-30
投稿时间:2007-05-14 修订日期:2007-09-30
中文摘要: 利用1951—2005年广西降水资料,使用Morlet小波分析方法分析了暴雨和大暴雨
日数的年际变化,结果表明均具有明显的周期变化规律特征,都存在着2、4、8、14年周
期振荡信号,其中2年周期振荡信号最强,其次为4,8,14年,各周期信号分布的时间区域
略有差异。广西暴雨日数变化总趋势为逐渐增多,在1990年代进入高峰期。影响广西暴雨发
生的主要天气系统为热带气旋、西南低涡、低空急流、高空槽,其中热带气旋、西南低涡是
广西特大暴雨发生的主要原因。
中文关键词: Morlet小波分析 暴雨 影响系统
Abstract:Based on the analysis of inter annual variation of rainstorm and heavy rainstor
m days in Guangxi from 1951 to 2005 with the Morlet wavelet method, it shows tha
t both exist significant periodic oscillations, with strong 2 , 4 , 8 ,14 ye
ar periods and 2 year period as the strongest. Moreover, the distributions of t
he frequencies and intensities are so different that the short period oscillati
ons are stronger than the longer ones. The rainstorm days in Guangxi exhibit an
increasing tendency on a long term basis. There are four main synoptic systems
that influence the occurrence of Guangxi rainstorm: tropical cyclone, southwest
vortex, low level jet and upper troposphere trough, and the main influencing s
ystem contributing to the excessive rainstorm in Guangxi is tropical cyclone and
southwest vortex.
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引用文本:
廖雪萍,覃卫坚,唐炳莉,丘平珠,2007.广西近50年暴雨日数变化的小波分析[J].气象,33(12):39-45.
Liao Xueping,Qin Weijian,Tang Bingli,Qiu Pingzhu,2007.Wavelet Analysis of Variation of Rainstorm Days in Guangxi in Recent 50 Years[J].Meteor Mon,33(12):39-45.
廖雪萍,覃卫坚,唐炳莉,丘平珠,2007.广西近50年暴雨日数变化的小波分析[J].气象,33(12):39-45.
Liao Xueping,Qin Weijian,Tang Bingli,Qiu Pingzhu,2007.Wavelet Analysis of Variation of Rainstorm Days in Guangxi in Recent 50 Years[J].Meteor Mon,33(12):39-45.