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气象:2007,33(5):42-48
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0604号强热带风暴碧利斯异常强降水过程的诊断分析
(中国气象局国家气象中心, 北京 100081)
Diagnostic Analysis of Severe Tropical Storm Bilis Heavy Rain Event
(National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2007-01-23    修订日期:2007-03-22
中文摘要: 基于0604号强热带风暴“碧利斯”异常强降水对我国造成的巨大影响,使用地面加密观测资 料、卫星云图资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料及中尺度模式输出的产品,对此次强热带风暴登 陆减弱后缓慢移动且长时间维持而引发的湖南、广东等地强降水过程进行了诊断分析。结果 表明:受西太平洋副热带高压、北方大陆高压、青藏高原东部高压及低纬赤道高压的包围, 低压移动缓慢,而西南季风气流及副高西南侧的东南气流源源不断地输送水汽到低压环流中 ,有利于其强度经久不衰,低压持续存在。对中尺度数值预报产品和物理量场的分析发现, 水汽供应充沛,低层气流辐合性较强,垂直对流旺盛,是这次强降水发生的有利条件。
Abstract:Due to the enormous disaster of the heavy rainfall in Hunan and Guangd ong, etc., caused by the severe landing tropical storm Bilis, the process is inv estigated based on the dense observational data, the satellite data, NCEP/NCAR r e analysis data and products of MM5. The results show that the tropical depress i on moved tardily owning to the surrounding of the west Pacific subtropical high, north mainland high, Tibetan high and low latitudes high. The southeast stream from the southwest part of the subtropical high and the southwest monsoon stream transported the vapor to the depression continuously, which was propitious to t he maintenance of its intensity. It is found that plenteous vapor, intense verti cal convection and strong convergence of the low level stream have advantage for the heavy rainfall by analyzing MM5 numerical forecast products and physical factor field.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金委重点基金(40633015);中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF20 07 31)共同资助
引用文本:
张恒德,孔期,2007.0604号强热带风暴碧利斯异常强降水过程的诊断分析[J].气象,33(5):42-48.
Zhang Hengde,Kong Qi,2007.Diagnostic Analysis of Severe Tropical Storm Bilis Heavy Rain Event[J].Meteor Mon,33(5):42-48.