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气象:2007,33(2):49-56
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2005年北京城区两次强冰雹天气的对比分析
(北京市气象台, 100089)
A Comparative Analysis on Two Severe Hail Events in Beijing Urban District in 2005
(Beijing Meteorological Observatory, 100089)
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投稿时间:2006-09-11    修订日期:2006-11-29
中文摘要: 冰雹等强对流天气是北京夏季预报和服务的重点,针对2005年发生在北京城区的两 次强冰雹天气,利用常规探测和自动站、雷达、风廓线等资料进行天气动力学和中尺度对比 分析,结果表明:这两次冰雹天气在环流形势、局地气象条件和中尺度系统等方面有明显差 异,5月31日的高低空急流配置、能量和风的垂直切变等更有利于强雹暴的发生;超级单体 回波是5月31日北京城区降雹的直接影响系统,6月7日为典型的飑线天气过程,两次过程中 雹云的发展演变、冰雹的落区与地面中尺度系统都有较好的对应;造成5月31日城区降雹的 对流系统为中 γ尺度,6月7日为中 β尺度,因此5月31日冰雹天气的预警难度较大,今 后需充分应用高时空分辨率的探测资料做好此类突发性天气的监测和临近预报。
中文关键词: 冰雹  急流  中尺度  辐合  切变  飑线
Abstract:It is crucial to well forecast severe convective weather like hail and provide better service during summer in Beijing. Synoptic dynamics and mesoscal e characteristics of two severe hailstorms are analyzed by using conventional ob servation and the data from automatic weather stations, Doppler radar and wind p rofiler, etc. Comparisons show that they differ greatly from each other on the c irculation pattern, local weather condition and mesoscale system. The coupled up per and lower jet flows, energy condition and the vertical wind shear, conduced more to the occurrence of the May 31 hail event. It was under the direct influe nce of supercell structure. In contrast, the June 7 hail event developed from a t ypical squall line. Evolvement of the two hailstorms and areas of hail fall hav e good relations with their mesoscale systems. For the May 31 hail , the influen cing system is on meso γ scale, while it is on meso β scale for the June 7 hail on. Warning and forecasting of the former hail event is relatively more difficu lt. To well monitor and nowcast these sudden events, full use of the high spatia l and time resolution detection data is needed in future.
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基金项目:北京市科技计划项目“奥运会气象保障科学技术试验与研究”、中国气 象局项目(CMATG2005Y03)、北京市优秀人才培养资助项目(2005ID0200802)和北京市气象局 自建项目共同资助
引用文本:
王华,孙继松,李津,2007.2005年北京城区两次强冰雹天气的对比分析[J].气象,33(2):49-56.
Wang Hua,Sun Jisong,Li Jin,2007.A Comparative Analysis on Two Severe Hail Events in Beijing Urban District in 2005[J].Meteor Mon,33(2):49-56.