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气象:2004,30(10):27-29
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一种定量预报评分方案研究
(山东省气象局,济南 250031)
An Evaluation Method of Operational Forecast
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中文摘要: 在对山东省123个站点41年降水、气温资料和近几年省内城市预报资料统计分析基础上,分别提出了降水和气温预报的准确性评价原则,并制订了符合χ2 (n)分布特征的降水定量预报评分方法和符合正态分布特征的气温定量预报评分方法。分析了以上方法的应用价值,并给出了该方法在实际应用中已取得的效果。
Abstract:Precipitation and temperature data of 41 years at 123 stations in Shandong Province is analyzed. Evaluation principles of operational precipitation and temperature forecast are made based on statistics. An evaluation method of precipitation forecast characterized by χ2(n) distribution and an evaluation method of temperature forecast characterized by normal distribution are put forward.
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引用文本:
王建国,吴炜,徐法彬,2004.一种定量预报评分方案研究[J].气象,30(10):27-29.
,2004.An Evaluation Method of Operational Forecast[J].Meteor Mon,30(10):27-29.