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中文摘要: 使用统计方法对新疆巴州地区夏季降水的空间分布和时间演变特征进行了分析。结果表明:(1)巴州夏季降水主要存在两种空间分布型式;(2)近40年巴州夏季降水呈增加趋势;(3)巴州夏季降水存在明显的5年和2年周期变化。最后，建立了夏季降水的预报方程并进行了预测试验。
中文关键词: 夏季降水，时空分布，预测
Abstract:An analysis of spatial-temporal variation of precipitation in summer over Bayinguoleng,Xinjiang is made. The results show that (1) there are two basic distribution patterns over Bayinguoleng; (2) the summer rainfall has an increasing trend for the last 40 years and (3) there are the periods of about 5- and 2- year in the series of precipitation. Finally,a equation for summer rainfall forecast is developed.
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引用文本：
茹仙古丽·克里木,魏凤英,2004.新疆巴州地区夏季降水的变化特征及其预测[J].气象,30(7):27-30.
,2004.Features of Spatial-temporal Variation of Precipitation in Summer over Bayinguoleng,Xinjiang and Its Prediction[J].Meteor Mon,30(7):27-30.
茹仙古丽·克里木,魏凤英,2004.新疆巴州地区夏季降水的变化特征及其预测[J].气象,30(7):27-30.
,2004.Features of Spatial-temporal Variation of Precipitation in Summer over Bayinguoleng,Xinjiang and Its Prediction[J].Meteor Mon,30(7):27-30.