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中文摘要: 从业务预报角度，对影响西南地区夏季降水的主要物理因子，如高原因子、西风 带系统、副热带高压等因素进行了分析,在此基础上建立了具有一定物理基础的夏季降水预测模型，在近年来汛期降水预测中取得了明显效果。
中文关键词: 夏季降水，预测信号，技术方法，预测效果
Abstract:The primary physical factors,such as plateau meteorological factor,westerlies system,subtropical high and so on,which impact on summer precipitation over the southwest region of China,are analyzed.Then based on the relationship between the physical factors and predictand,the predictive models of precipitation in Sichuan basin are developed.The forecast accuracy of operational experiments in recent years is improved.
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引用文本：
马振锋,2002.西南地区夏季降水预测模型[J].气象,28(11):29-33.
,2002.Forecasting of Summer Precipitation over Southwest Region of China[J].Meteor Mon,28(11):29-33.
马振锋,2002.西南地区夏季降水预测模型[J].气象,28(11):29-33.
,2002.Forecasting of Summer Precipitation over Southwest Region of China[J].Meteor Mon,28(11):29-33.