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气象:1999,25(11):40-43
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利用人工降水效果统计量评价人工降水效果
(福建省气象局,福州 350001)
The Evaluation on the Precipitation Enhancement Effect by Using Correlation of the Precipitation Enhancement Effect and Effect Statistical Value
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中文摘要: 采用统计数值模拟方法研究人工降水增雨效果统计量的分布及特征。结果表明:人工降水增雨效果统计量服从正态分布(正态拟合概率>0.70),增雨效果统计量的均值与增雨效果相关密切(r>0.99,α< 0.001),一元线性回归方程显著,可信度达99%以上。利用这一规律,通过统计增雨效果统计量可以求出人工增水效果。
Abstract:The statistical value distribution and characteristic value of the pattern of precipitation enhancement were studied by using the statistic numerical modeling method.The results indicate that the statistical value of precipitation enhancement effect submits to normal distribution (the probability of normal fitting>0.70);the average of precipitation enhancement effect statistical value is correlative closely with precipitation enhancement effect (r>0.99,α<0.001),the equation of monadic linear regression is significant,the fiducial probability exceeds 99%.Therefore the precipitation enhancement effect can be calculated by way of the statistical value of statistics precipitation enhancement effect.
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引用文本:
冯宏芳,郑淑贞,陈敏艳,曾光平,1999.利用人工降水效果统计量评价人工降水效果[J].气象,25(11):40-43.
,1999.The Evaluation on the Precipitation Enhancement Effect by Using Correlation of the Precipitation Enhancement Effect and Effect Statistical Value[J].Meteor Mon,25(11):40-43.