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气象:1999,25(9):3-6
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百余年的ENSO事件与北京汛期旱涝的统计关系
(北京气象科学研究所,100089)
The Statistical Relation between ENSO Events and Drought/Flood over the Beijing Area in the Past Century
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中文摘要: 利用王绍武等人最近对近百年ENSO事件及强度的研究结果,对ENSO事件与北京汛期(6~8 月)相当暴雨日数的统计关系进行分析。表明,ENSO事件与北京汛期旱涝存在较复杂的统计关系, ENSO事件的性质、强度、起始季节和持续时间长短等与汛期旱涝的对应关系是复杂的。根据1867~1998年的ENSO事件和同期北京汛期相当暴雨日数资料,给出一些统计结果。利用王绍武等人最近对近百年ENSO事件及强度的研究结果,对ENSO事件与北京汛期(6~8月)相当暴雨日数的统计关系进行分析。表明,ENSO事件与北京汛期旱涝存在较复杂的统计关系,ENSO事件的性质、强度、起始季节和持续时间长短等与汛期旱涝的对应关系是复杂的。根据1867~1998年的ENSO事件和同期北京汛期相当暴雨日数资料,给出一些统计结果。
Abstract:Using the research result for ENSO events and their intensity during the past century by Wang Shaowu,et al.,the statistical relation between ENSO events and drought/flood over the Beijing area in the past century was analyzed.It's shown that there is the perplexed relation between ENSO event and drought/flood in Beijing.The corresponding relationship between the nature (warm or cool),intensity,beginning season,length of ENSO events and drought/flood in Beijing are complicated.Based on the data of ENSO events and the equivalent trrential rain days in Beijing,some statistical results were given.
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引用文本:
吴正华,储锁龙,1999.百余年的ENSO事件与北京汛期旱涝的统计关系[J].气象,25(9):3-6.
,1999.The Statistical Relation between ENSO Events and Drought/Flood over the Beijing Area in the Past Century[J].Meteor Mon,25(9):3-6.