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中文摘要: 对1997年初夏云南发生的严重干旱灾害从大气环流和海气相互作用角度对其成因进行了详细的诊断研究，提出了一个考虑物理诊断与统计预测相结合的云南初夏降水综合预测方案，对作好该地区的气候预测有一定的参考价值。
中文关键词: 初夏干旱，夏季风，厄尔尼诺，诊断
Abstract:The details of the cause of the early summer severe drought disaster in Yunnan Province in 1997 was diagnosed from two sides of general atmospheric circuclation and air sea interaction. As for the amount of early summer precipitation in Yunnan Province,a comprehensive forecast scheme which considers to combine physical diagnosis with statistical forecast was presented,the method has a reference value to make climate forecast in the area.
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引用文本：
刘瑜,解明恩,1998.1997年初夏云南严重干旱的诊断分析[J].气象,24(8):50-56.
,1998.Diagnosis Analysis of Early Summer Server Drought in Yunnan in 1997[J].Meteor Mon,24(8):50-56.
刘瑜,解明恩,1998.1997年初夏云南严重干旱的诊断分析[J].气象,24(8):50-56.
,1998.Diagnosis Analysis of Early Summer Server Drought in Yunnan in 1997[J].Meteor Mon,24(8):50-56.