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气象:1998,24(8):32-37
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暴雨短时定量预报方法
(浙江省湖州市气象台,313000)
The Quantitative Forecasting Method of Short term Rainstorm
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中文摘要: 通过对天气雷达实时回波资料客观分析,定义回波强度梯度,对雷达回波随距离的衰减特征作了客观化订正,使探测资料更接近于实际;计算并组建了大量的天气物理学因子,选用常规数理统计模型,建立湖州0~2小时雨量预报模型,从而定量地作出超短时暴雨预报。
Abstract:Based on the objective analyses of real time echo data of weather radar,the echo intensity gradient was defined,and the correction to the feature of radar echo attenuation with distance was given to make the detecting data more actual. A lot of weather physical factors were selected and calculated,combining with a routine mathematic statistics model,the 0~2 hour precipitation forecasting model was developed. Thus,the super short term quantitative rainstorm prediction was given.
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引用文本:
杨育强,俞铁,1998.暴雨短时定量预报方法[J].气象,24(8):32-37.
,1998.The Quantitative Forecasting Method of Short term Rainstorm[J].Meteor Mon,24(8):32-37.