本文已被：浏览 1202次 下载 1556次
中文摘要: 在河北暴雨中期预报系统中，应用卡尔曼滤波技术对ECMWF500hPa高度预报场进行了订正。通过对ECMWF500hPa高度场的多种订正试验，分析比较未订正的和各种不同订正方案的高度预报均方根误差，证明卡尔曼滤波双因子订正对于提高暴雨中期预报能力是有效的。
中文关键词: 卡尔曼滤波，500hPa高度，暴雨，中期预报
Abstract:In the medium range forecasting system for heavy rain,the ECMWF 500hPa height predictions are corrected with Kalman filter method. The approach was put into the operational application in the summers of 1996 and 1997. The results show that the approach is effective and the forecast accuracy is improved. In this papper,the correction method is introduced,and experiments of correcting ECMWF 500hPa height predictions are made,the root mean square errors of uncorected and corrected 500hPa height predictions are analyzed and compared.
文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标志码：
基金项目:
| Author Name | Affiliation |
引用文本：
魏文秀,任彪,杨海龙,史凤兰,1998.卡尔曼滤波技术在暴雨中期预报中的应用[J].气象,24(3):46-49.
,1998.Application of Kalman Filter method to the Medium range Forecasting System for Heavy Rain[J].Meteor Mon,24(3):46-49.
魏文秀,任彪,杨海龙,史凤兰,1998.卡尔曼滤波技术在暴雨中期预报中的应用[J].气象,24(3):46-49.
,1998.Application of Kalman Filter method to the Medium range Forecasting System for Heavy Rain[J].Meteor Mon,24(3):46-49.