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中文摘要: 介绍了：①用T63数值预报产品对河南省6—8月区域性暴雨进行物理量诊断分析。②用人工智能研制的河南省6—8月分片大—暴雨短期自动化预报系统与用T63（T42）数值预报产品资料采用逐步回归分析法和预测误差平方和最小准则两种选取回归自变量的方法，建立河南省分片预报方程的综合判别预报。③在1995、1996年7—8月业务预报中试验结果。
中文关键词: 区域性暴雨,诊断分析,预测误差平方和最小准则,综合预报
Abstract:The diagnostic analysis of physical variables for area rainstorm from June to August in Henan Province was conducted and the dynamic model was given by using numerical forecast product of T63.The short range automatic forecasting system of rainstorm with divided areas was developed by the artificial intelligence,and by using the numerical forecast product data of T63(T42),two kinds of selecting regression independent variable method were used to establish the integrated discriminate forecasting in Henan province,one of two kinds is the stepwise regression analysis,the other is the least standard of the sum of error square.The trial results of the operational forecast from July to August in 1995 and 1996 was reviewed.
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引用文本：
李平,孙景兰,张金彬,孔海江,李保生,闫少伟,1997.河南省短期区域性暴雨动力诊断及综合预报方案[J].气象,23(8):25-28.
,1997.The Diagnostic Model of the Short range Area Rainstorm and the Integrated Discriminate Forecast in Henan Province[J].Meteor Mon,23(8):25-28.
李平,孙景兰,张金彬,孔海江,李保生,闫少伟,1997.河南省短期区域性暴雨动力诊断及综合预报方案[J].气象,23(8):25-28.
,1997.The Diagnostic Model of the Short range Area Rainstorm and the Integrated Discriminate Forecast in Henan Province[J].Meteor Mon,23(8):25-28.