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中文摘要: 利用日平均气温资料，将秋冬季节转换的过程划分为4种基本类型，讨论了不同类型与次年夏季（5—9月）旱涝的关系，同时应用该关系制作夏季旱涝的长期趋势预测。
中文关键词: 秋冬季节转换,夏季旱涝,长期预测
Abstract:Based on mean daily temperature, the characteristics of the transition from autumn to winter are classified into four types. The relationship between the different type and the drought/flood summer of next year are discussed. By using the relationship,long-term forecasts of the drought/flood in summer are made and the results are fair good.
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引用文本：
王莘芳,汪克付,1996.秋冬季节转换与次年汛期旱涝的关系[J].气象,22(12):40-42.
,1996.A Preliminary Study on the Relationship between the Seasonal Transition of Autumn to Winter and the Drought/Flood of Next Year[J].Meteor Mon,22(12):40-42.
王莘芳,汪克付,1996.秋冬季节转换与次年汛期旱涝的关系[J].气象,22(12):40-42.
,1996.A Preliminary Study on the Relationship between the Seasonal Transition of Autumn to Winter and the Drought/Flood of Next Year[J].Meteor Mon,22(12):40-42.