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中文摘要: 利用T63模式的500hPa数值形势预报图和客观分析实况图,对1994年7—9月我国出现的12次较大范围暴一大暴雨天气过程的影响天气系统进行了预报能力的分析检验,并分析了产生误差的原因,所得结果有利于数值预报产品的释用及实时预报业务。
中文关键词: 数值形势预报，分析检验，误差
Abstract:By using 500hPa circulation pattern forecast and objective analysis produced by T63L16 NWP model,the 24-,48- and 72-hour forecast capabilities for the affecting systems of totally 12 processes of heavy rains which occured from July to September in 1994 are verified and assessed.These systems include trough of low pressure,shear line,tropical cyclone,coastal ridge, West Asia ridge,subtropical ridge and mid-latitude front zone. The results obtained will be helpful for the explanation and application of NWP products and real-time operational prediction.
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引用文本：
杨克明,赵梅,钱传海,1995.T63模式对暴雨短期预报能力的分析检验[J].气象,21(7):38-42.
,1995.Verification of the Forecast Capability of T63L16 Numerical Model on Short-Range Heavy Rains[J].Meteor Mon,21(7):38-42.
杨克明,赵梅,钱传海,1995.T63模式对暴雨短期预报能力的分析检验[J].气象,21(7):38-42.
,1995.Verification of the Forecast Capability of T63L16 Numerical Model on Short-Range Heavy Rains[J].Meteor Mon,21(7):38-42.