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中文摘要: 应用“多准则模糊决策"方法,把多种预报方法以偏少、正常、偏多及总的预报准确率作为评价条件,对每种预报方法均做出总的评价,进行最佳预报方法排序,作为最终预报的依据。
中文关键词: 多准则,模糊决策，旱涝趋势，决策预报
Abstract:Many methods have been used in long-term forecasts. The method of multi-criterion fuzzy decision is,therefore,introduced. A general appraisal is made according to forecasting accuracy.As a result,an order of optimum forecast methods as a basic principle for the final forecast is obtained.
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引用文本：
李恺心,姜晓艳,1995.多准则模糊决策方法在旱涝趋势预报中的应用[J].气象,21(2):16-18.
,1995.The Application of“Multi-Criterion Fuzzy Decision"to the Long Term Forecast of Dryness/Wetness Trend[J].Meteor Mon,21(2):16-18.
李恺心,姜晓艳,1995.多准则模糊决策方法在旱涝趋势预报中的应用[J].气象,21(2):16-18.
,1995.The Application of“Multi-Criterion Fuzzy Decision"to the Long Term Forecast of Dryness/Wetness Trend[J].Meteor Mon,21(2):16-18.