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中文摘要: 利用Tsui,T.L.提出的组合置信加权预报方法,对我国6种不同特性的热带气旋路径客观预报在3个区域分别进行组合试验。结果表明,组合后的预报性能优于参加组合的任何一种预报子方法。
中文关键词: 热带气旋,集成预报,预报区域
Abstract:Using the Combined Confidence Weighting Forecast method introduced by Tsui, T. L. , six kinds of objective forecast of different performances are tested in 3 forecast arears individually. The results indicate that the final combined forecast is more advanced than the each one of the six kinds of forecasts.
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吴天泉,费亮,薛宗元,1993.热带气旋路径的一种集成预报方法[J].气象,19(11):21-24.
,1993.A Combined Weighting Method of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts[J].Meteor Mon,19(11):21-24.
吴天泉,费亮,薛宗元,1993.热带气旋路径的一种集成预报方法[J].气象,19(11):21-24.
,1993.A Combined Weighting Method of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts[J].Meteor Mon,19(11):21-24.