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气象:1992,18(4):3-8
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雹云的判别方法与短时预报统计模式
(1.南京气象学院;2.广州民航;3.甘肃庆阳地区气象局)
Recognition method of hail cloud and statistical nowcasting model
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中文摘要: 本文利用江苏省强对流天气的雷达回波资料、天气与灾情实况和探空资料,讨论了降雹概率与回波顶高的关系。用独立参数降雹条件概率公式判别雹云,并对条状和带状回波移向与高空风向间的偏角进行了统计分析。所建立的统计模式,具有一定实用价值。
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Abstract:With radar observations of echo intensity, along with the information on weather conditions and hazards, as well as radiosonde data,the paper discusses the relationship between the top height of radar echoes and the hail probability associated with severe convection in Jiangsu Province. The single-parameter formula incorporating with conditional probability of hail is used to identify hail cloud. The data of the angle between the moving direction of band and strip-trpe echoes and the direction of upper airbwind are statistical analysized
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引用文本:
戴铁丕,郑传烈,郑克刚,1992.雹云的判别方法与短时预报统计模式[J].气象,18(4):3-8.
,1992.Recognition method of hail cloud and statistical nowcasting model[J].Meteor Mon,18(4):3-8.