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三峡库区蓄水前后夏季小时降水变化特征
(中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所)
Variation characteristics of summer hourly precipitation before and after impounding in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area
TANG Yonglan1,2,2,3,4,2,2,3,5,2,2,3,6,2,2,3,7,2,2,3,8,2,2,3,9, XU Guirong, Qi Haixia
(1.Institute&2.amp;3.#160;4.of&5.Heavy&6.Rain,&7.China&8.Meteorological&9.Administration)
摘要
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投稿时间:2023-04-01    修订日期:2024-03-14
中文摘要: 利用中国气象局国家气象信息中心小时降水资料,结合三峡库区地形的多样性,分析了库区蓄水前(1992—2002年)和蓄水后(2003—2021年)夏季(6—8月)小时降水时空变化以及不同类型小时强降水事件(Hourly Heavy Rainfall Event,HHRE)变化特征。结果表明:(1)蓄水后小时降水的降水量和频次减少,而强度增加;降水变化存在明显的地理分布规律,降水量、频次、强度在库区中北部增加,且多位于长江以北地区;降水量、频次在库区西南部减少,强度在库区中南部和西北部减弱,且多位于31°N以南。(2)蓄水前后小时降水的日变化峰值时间位相的空间差异程度表现为降水强度>降水量>降水频次;蓄水后降水量、频次、强度呈增加趋势的站点增多,且降水量和强度的日变化峰值时间位相在高海拔山区具有位相前移特征。(3)蓄水前后各等级小时降水的降水概率和降水占比变化不明显,其中降水概率在[0.1,0.5)mm等级最大,≥20 mm等级最小;降水占比在[1,5)mm等级最大,[0.1,0.5)mm等级最小,≥20 mm等级约为15%。(4)蓄水后小时降水的日变化特征更加明显,其中≥20 mm等级的小时降水量和频次的双峰结构更为突出,其他等级的小时降水量和频次的峰值时间范围有扩大趋势,而各等级小时降水强度的次日尺度波动更频繁。(5)蓄水前后HHRE均是短历时型最多,长历时型最少,且短历时型HHRE多开始于下午,中历时型和长历时型HHRE多开始于夜间;蓄水后有利于HHRE维持,短历时型HHRE在中午和下午开始的概率增加,中历时型和长历时型HHRE在清晨开始的概率增加。
Abstract:Based on hourly precipitation data from the National Meteorological Information Center of the China Meteorological Administration, combined with the diversity of the terrain, the temporal and spatial characteristics of hourly precipitation, as well as characteristics of different types of Hourly Heavy Rainfall Event(HHRE) before(1992-2002)and after(2003-2021)the impoundment in Three Gorges Reservoir Area in the summer(from June to August)are analyzed. The results show that:(1)After impoundment, the precipitation and frequency decrease but intensity increases, while the change trends of the three are not significant. There is an obvious geographical distribution pattern for precipitation changes, with precipitation, frequency and intensity increasing in the central north of Three Gorges Reservoir Area, mostly located in the north of the Yangtze River, and the precipitation and frequency decreasing in the southwest while the intensity decreasing in the central south and northwest of Three Gorges Reservoir Area, mostly located south of 31°N.(2)There is a spatial distribution difference in the diurnal peak phases of precipitation, frequency, and intensity of hourly precipitation before and after impoundment, with the degree of difference being as follows: precipitation intensity>precipitation>precipitation frequency. After impoundment, the number of stations increases with increasing trend for precipitation, frequency and intensity, and the diurnal peak phases of precipitation and intensity have phase shift features in high altitude mountainous areas..(3)There is no significant change in the precipitation probability and proportion of hourly precipitation at various grades before and after impoundment. The precipitation probability shows the maximum(about 42%)at the grade of [0.1, 0.5)mm, and the minimum(about 1%)at the grade of ≥20 mm. The precipitation proportion shows the maximum(about 35%)at the grade of [1, 5)mm, the minimum(not more than 4%)at the grade of [0.1, 0.5)mm, and about 15% at the grade of ≥20 mm.(4)The daily variation characteristics of hourly precipitation after the impoundment are more obvious. The bimodal structures of precipitation and frequency of hourly precipitation at the grade of ≥20 mm are more prominent, while the peak time ranges of precipitation and frequency of hourly precipitation at other grades tend to expand, while the diurnal scale fluctuations of hourly precipitation intensity at each grade are more frequent.(5)Analysis of different duration types of HHREs shows that both before and after impoundment, the short-duration type of HHRE is the highest(more than 50%), followed by medium-duration type(less than 30%), and the long-duration type is the lowest(less than 20%). The short-duration type of HHREs mostly start in the afternoon, while the other two types of HHREs mostly start at night. After impoundment, it is beneficial for HHRE maintenance, with a decrease in the proportion of short-duration type of HHRE and an increase in the proportion of medium-duration and long-duration types of HHREs, and the probability of the former starting at noon and afternoon increases, while the probability of the latter two starting in the morning increases.
文章编号:202304010084     中图分类号:    文献标志码:
基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目(41975058)、湖北省气象局科技发展基金重点项目(2022Z02)和长江流域气象开放基金(CJLY2022Y06)
作者单位地址
唐永兰 中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 湖北省武汉市东湖高新技术开发区金融港二路6号湖北暴雨监测预警中心
徐桂荣* 中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 湖北省武汉市东湖高新技术开发区金融港二路6号湖北暴雨监测预警中心
祁海霞 中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 
Author NameAffiliationAddress
TANG Yonglan Institute&
amp
amp
#160
of&
amp
amp
#160
Heavy&
amp
amp
#160
Rain,&
amp
amp
#160
China&
amp
amp
#160
Meteorological&
amp
amp
#160
Administration 
湖北省武汉市东湖高新技术开发区金融港二路6号湖北暴雨监测预警中心
XU Guirong  湖北省武汉市东湖高新技术开发区金融港二路6号湖北暴雨监测预警中心
Qi Haixia  
引用文本:
TANG Yonglan,XU Guirong,Qi Haixia,0.Variation characteristics of summer hourly precipitation before and after impounding in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area[J].Meteor Mon,():-.
TANG Yonglan,XU Guirong,Qi Haixia,0.Variation characteristics of summer hourly precipitation before and after impounding in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area[J].Meteor Mon,():-.