ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
Analysis on the Difficulties of Typhoon Wipha (0713) Path Forecast
CSTR:
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    There is a big discrepancy of typhoon Wipha (0713) tracks forecasts by various models. The forecasts say that the typhoon Wipha (0713) would turn nor thward in the sea of northern Taiwan Island towards bias N in the east of 120°E , but the actual path is in the west of 120°E after landing at the coast of Zhe jiang and Fujian provinces. To understand the reasons for this discrepancy, ever y kind of data is applied to study the possible causes. It shows that (1) the er rors in the numerical prediction product are the main reasons. (2) One ridgetw o troughs situation in the Eurasian 500 hPa height field, the westerly index evo lution from low to high and the subtropical high index periodical enhancement ar e disadvantageous to typhoon Wipha turning bias N in the sea northeast of Taiwan . (3) The terrain impact shoreleft changing and Harbor attraction,as well as dynamic field and thermal field distribution led typhoon Wipha to the west in the northeast sea of Taiwan.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation
Related Videos

Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:April 21,2008
  • Revised:May 22,2008
  • Adopted:
  • Online:
  • Published:
Article QR Code

WeChat

Mobile website