ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
CN 11-2282/P
Extreme weather events and weather and climate unified forecasting techniques ： Current status and prospects
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Abstract:
Extreme weather events have an important impact on economic and social development. The extreme weather events are often resulted from superimposed influence of multi-factor and multi-scale abnormal signals of climate environment. Thus, extreme weather events embody the unity of weather and climate. This paper analyzes the difficulties and challenges faced by extreme weather event prediction from the perspective of the internal relationship between weather and climate, and discusses the opportunities provided by weather and climate integration model, Multi-loop coupling assimilation and ensemble technology, assimilation probability prediction technology based on deep learning and AI. The significance of the integration of weather and climate disciplines and the establishment of weather and climate integrated forecasting operation system is pointed out.
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Project Supported:
National Key R&D Program of China project，No. 2023YFC3007700
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