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江苏弱垂直风切变下的下击暴流雷达回波特征统计研究
熊希颖1, 王秀明2,2, 俞小鼎2
(1.湖北省气象台;2.中国气象局气象干部培训学院)
Statistical Study on the Radar Echo Characteristics of Downbursts under Weak Vertical Wind Shear in Jiangsu Province
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投稿时间:2025-05-05    修订日期:2026-06-01
中文摘要: 摘要:为增加对弱动力强迫下(副高控制且垂直风切变在10 m·s-1以下)的下击暴流风暴结构特征的了解,揭示业务天气雷达预警下击暴流的能力,基于12部SA型多普勒天气雷达观测资料,对2019–2020年6–9月江苏下击暴流样本集的风暴结构特征进行了统计分析,结果表明:弱切变背景下,下击暴流风暴回波强度较强,反射率因子核均值为57 dBZ,距地高度5.2 km,脉冲风暴占比约1/3,多伴有反射率因子核心高度下降和垂直累积液态水含量下降特征,平均下降速度慢,特征持续1~2个体扫,预警时间提前量0~12 min;伴随阵风锋比例为47%,风暴移速和阵风锋移速均慢,均值约为7 m·s-1;中层径向辐合等特征占比不高,约1/3下击暴流风暴伴有中层径向辐合特征,而弱回波区、后侧入流和中涡旋特征比例均不足10%,但脉冲风暴以及伴有中层径向辐合等特征的下击暴流强度更强,且多在下击暴流出现后再次出现更强下击暴流;中层径向辐合等特征持续时间集中在12~36 min,下击暴流和最强下击暴流预警时间提前量分别为0~24 min和6~36 min。上述量化结构特征增加了对下击暴流风暴的了解,表明仅部分下击暴流可基于业务天气雷达预警,弱动力强迫下的下击暴流预警存在局限性。
Abstract:Abstract:To enhance the understanding of the structural characteristics of downburst storms under weak dynamic forcing (controlled by subtropical high with vertical wind shear below 10 m·s-1), and to evaluate the probability of operational weather radar in downburst warning. Based on the observation data of 12 SA-Doppler weather radars, this study statistically analyzes the storm structure characteristics of the downburst samples in Jiangsu Province from June to September during 2019–2020. The results indicate that under weak vertical wind shear, downburst storms exhibit relatively high reflectivity, with a mean reflectivity core of 57 dBZ and a height of 5.2 km above the ground. Approximately 1/3 of the storms are pulse storms. Downburst storms often accompanied by a descending reflectivity core (DRC) and decreasing vertical integrated liquid water content (VIL), with slow descent speed and a duration of 1-2 volume, and the lead time for warning is 0-12 min. Gust fronts are detected in 47% of downburst storms, and the average motion speeds of both storms and gust fronts are 7 m·s?1. The proportion of middle altitude radial convergence(MARC) and other radar signatures is not high. About 1/3 of the downburst storms are associated with MARC, while weak echo region (WER), rear inflow (RI), and mesovortices each occur in fewer than 10% of cases. However, downbursts associated with pulse storms, MARC, or other features tend to be more intense, and severe downbursts often reoccur after the initial downbursts. The duration of MARC and other features primarily ranges between 12-36 min. The warning lead times for downbursts and the severe downbursts by MARC and other features are 0-24 min and 6-36 min, respectively. The above quantitative structural characteristics advance the understanding of downburst storms, and indicate that operational weather radars can only provide warnings for part of downbursts, revealing limitations in downbursts warning under weak dynamic forcing.
文章编号:202505050122     中图分类号:    文献标志码:
基金项目:(U2142203,41875058,42375018)、国家重点研发计划课题(2022YFC3004104)、中国气象局短时临近预报教学科研团队项目,中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2022ZD07)共同资助
作者单位地址
熊希颖 湖北省气象台 湖北省武汉市洪山区东湖东路3号
王秀明* 中国气象局气象干部培训学院
中国气象局气象干部培训学院 
中国气象局气象干部培训学院;中国气象局气象干部培训学院
俞小鼎 中国气象局气象干部培训学院 
Author NameAffiliationAddress
Xiong Xiying Hubei Meteorological Observatory 湖北省武汉市洪山区东湖东路3号
Wang Xiuming  中国气象局气象干部培训学院;中国气象局气象干部培训学院
Yu Xiaoding  
引用文本:
Xiong Xiying,Wang Xiuming,Yu Xiaoding,0.Statistical Study on the Radar Echo Characteristics of Downbursts under Weak Vertical Wind Shear in Jiangsu Province[J].Meteor Mon,():-.
Xiong Xiying,Wang Xiuming,Yu Xiaoding,0.Statistical Study on the Radar Echo Characteristics of Downbursts under Weak Vertical Wind Shear in Jiangsu Province[J].Meteor Mon,():-.