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投稿时间:2025-02-21 修订日期:2026-05-27
投稿时间:2025-02-21 修订日期:2026-05-27
中文摘要: 本文利用08时-08时24h地面降水资料,针对北京2016—2023年来共计83个暴雨日,根据500hPa位势高度场,将环流形势分为六类:蒙古低涡低槽暴雨、 副热带高压与西风槽结合暴雨、河套低涡型暴雨、东北冷涡型暴雨、热带气旋暴雨、西风槽与台风相结合暴雨。发现河套低涡和热带气旋类型容易出现大范围特大暴雨,东北冷涡型以局地暴雨为主,很少出现大范围暴雨。根据北京站(54511)925、850、700、500、200hPa观测资料的统计分析,发现暴雨时段各层比湿显著高于非暴雨时段。进一步分析表明,在六类暴雨过程中,热带气旋暴雨和河套低涡两类事件的比湿值最大,对应这两类暴雨降水强度与范围也最大。结合1h降水资料,将高空观测时间(08、20时)前后1h如果出现≥10mm降水定义为暴雨、0.1~9.9mm定义为小雨、无降水三种情况,分别统计各层比湿发现暴雨时段各层比湿最大,其次小雨时段、最小的是无雨时段。结合急流分析了8个方向各层风对应的暴雨过程的比湿特征,发现风向为90-225°之间有急流时比湿最大,风向在270-300°之间有急流时比湿最小。本研究弥补了以往研究关注暴雨过程700hPa以下层次,特别是850hPa的比湿特征,而对高层分析欠缺的不足,创新性发现500hPa高度场的比湿增大对暴雨预报具有显著的指示作用。
中文关键词: 暴雨,分类,比湿特征分析
Abstract:This study utilizes 24-hour surface precipitation data from 08:00 to 08:00 (local time) and focuses on 83 heavy rainfall days in Beijing from 2016 to 2023. Based on the 500 hPa geopotential height field, the circulation patterns are classified into six categories: heavy rainfall associated with the Mongolian vortex and trough, heavy rainfall from the interaction between the subtropical high and westerly trough, heavy rainfall of the Hetao vortex type, heavy rainfall of the Northeast cold vortex type, heavy rainfall from tropical cyclones, and heavy rainfall resulting from the combination of westerly trough and typhoon. It was found that the Hetao vortex type and tropical cyclone type are more likely to produce widespread extreme heavy rainfall, while the Northeast cold vortex type mainly causes localized heavy rainfall and rarely results in widespread events.Statistical analysis of observational data from the Beijing station (54511) at 925, 850, 700, 500, and 200 hPa levels revealed that specific humidity at all levels during heavy rainfall periods is significantly higher than during non-heavy rainfall periods. Further analysis showed that, among the six types of heavy rainfall events, tropical cyclone and Hetao vortex events exhibit the highest specific humidity values, corresponding to the highest precipitation intensity and coverage.Using hourly precipitation data, precipitation occurring within one hour before and after the upper-air observation times (08:00 and 20:00) was categorized into three cases: heavy rainfall (≥10 mm), light rain (0.1–9.9 mm), and no precipitation. Statistical analysis of specific humidity at different levels showed that specific humidity is highest during heavy rainfall periods, followed by light rain periods, and lowest during no-rain periods.By combining jet stream analysis, the specific humidity characteristics of heavy rainfall processes corresponding to winds from eight directions at different levels were examined. It was found that specific humidity is highest when the wind direction is between 90° and 225° with a jet stream present, and lowest when the wind direction is between 270° and 300° with a jet stream. This study addresses the previous research focus on specific humidity characteristics below 700 hPa, particularly at 850 hPa, during heavy rainfall processes, while lacking analysis of higher levels. Innovatively, it reveals that an increase in specific humidity at the 500 hPa level has significant indicative value for heavy rainfall forecasting..
文章编号:202502210044 中图分类号: 文献标志码:
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)
| 作者 | 单位 | 地址 |
| 黄小玉 | 国家气象中心 | 北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号 |
| 李月安 | 国家气象中心 | |
| 薛峰* | 国家气象中心 | 北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号 |
| 孟宏新 | 国家气象中心气象台 | |
| 欧小锋 | 湖南省气象科学研究所 | |
| 傅承浩 | 湖南省气象台 | |
| 何锡汶 | 国家气象中心 | |
| 姚莉 | 国家气象中心 |
| Author Name | Affiliation | Address |
| huangxiaoyu | National Meteorological Center, Beijing | 北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号 |
| Li Yuean | ||
| Xue Feng | 北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号 | |
| Meng Hongxin | ||
| Ou Xiaofeng | ||
| Fu Chenghao | ||
| He Xiwen | ||
| Yao Li |
引用文本:
huangxiaoyu,Li Yuean,Xue Feng,Meng Hongxin,Ou Xiaofeng,Fu Chenghao,He Xiwen,Yao Li,0.Analysis of Statistical Characteristics of Upper-Air Specific Humidity during Heavy Rainfall Events in Beijing[J].Meteor Mon,():-.
huangxiaoyu,Li Yuean,Xue Feng,Meng Hongxin,Ou Xiaofeng,Fu Chenghao,He Xiwen,Yao Li,0.Analysis of Statistical Characteristics of Upper-Air Specific Humidity during Heavy Rainfall Events in Beijing[J].Meteor Mon,():-.
huangxiaoyu,Li Yuean,Xue Feng,Meng Hongxin,Ou Xiaofeng,Fu Chenghao,He Xiwen,Yao Li,0.Analysis of Statistical Characteristics of Upper-Air Specific Humidity during Heavy Rainfall Events in Beijing[J].Meteor Mon,():-.
huangxiaoyu,Li Yuean,Xue Feng,Meng Hongxin,Ou Xiaofeng,Fu Chenghao,He Xiwen,Yao Li,0.Analysis of Statistical Characteristics of Upper-Air Specific Humidity during Heavy Rainfall Events in Beijing[J].Meteor Mon,():-.